No Kings, Kingmaker, or Coup? How a President Could Bend the Rules to Stay in Power.
Wise Up in 60 Seconds
- Mass dissent, tight response: June 14’s “No Kings” protests in 2 000+ cities decried perceived authoritarian turns, while in D.C. Trump warned demonstrators would be “met with heavy force.”
- Playbook for entrenchment: Modern leaders twisted constitutions via court-packing, emergency decrees, electoral rule changes, media purges, and security-force deployments.
- U.S. risk factors: Controls over DOJ, the courts, and election certification ceremonies could be subverted; national-emergency powers let a president rule by decree.
- Watchpoints next: Look for expanded use of “emergency” proclamations, stacked judgeships, targeted prosecutions of political rivals, and “only I can save you” narratives to justify exceptional powers.
- Bottom line: Vigilance, institutional pushback, and clear red lines in law are America’s best guardrails against a slow-motion power grab.
1 Historical Precedents of Power Grabs
- Court-packing: FDR’s 1937 proposal to add justices for favorable rulings; more recently, Venezuela’s Chavista super-legislative judiciary.
- Emergency decrees: Lincoln suspended habeas corpus; Turkey's Erdogan issued sweeping orders after 2016 coup attempt.
- Term-rule changes: Putin’s 2020 referendum reset term limits; China’s 2018 abolition of presidential term caps.
- Electoral manipulation: Hungary’s Fidesz redrew districts; Turkey’s referendum amid media blackouts.
2 Tools in the Modern Authoritarian Toolkit
Mechanism |
U.S. Analogue |
Risk Signal |
Emergency Powers |
National-emergency declarations via
1976 Act |
Sudden, broad “security” orders
bypassing Congress. |
Judicial Control |
Senate-confirmed judges + Solicitor
General |
Rapid elevation of sympathetic
justices. |
Election Overhaul |
Redistricting + “poll-watcher”
expansion |
New rules that invalidate unfriendly
precincts. |
Executive Prosecution |
DOJ appointments &
investigations |
“Lawfare” targeting political
opponents. |
Media & Speech |
FCC authority; “disinformation”
edicts |
Licensing threats to critical
outlets. |
Security Forces |
National Guard & federal
agencies |
Deployments for “domestic
tranquility” against protestors. |
3 What to Watch for Next
- New “emergency” at the border or economy: Triggers temporary decree authority, micromanaging budgets and dissent.
- Surprise judicial nominations: Fast-tracked confirmations to tilt courts on election-related cases.
- Rewritten election standards: Last-minute rules on mail-in ballots, certification deadlines, or contested state legislatures.
- Selective prosecutions or pardons Branding rivals as “lawbreakers” while protecting allies.
- “Patriotic” media regulations: Pressure on broadcasters or social platforms under “national security” pretexts.
4 Safeguards & Countermoves
- Congressional oversight: Robust, bipartisan investigations and vote-withholding on extreme nominees.
- Judicial review: Timely injunctions and expedited appeals for emergency orders.
- Civil-society Vigilance: Mass mobilizations and media exposés to spotlight overreach.
- State-level guards: Governors’ refusals to deploy National Guard under dubious orders.
- International pressure: Public statements and sanctions threats by allies.
References
- Associated Press. “’No Kings’ Protesters Rally in Over 2,000 U.S. Cities Against Authoritarianism.” AP News, 14 June 2025.
- The Washington Post. “Trump Promises ‘Heavy Force’ for Demonstrators at D.C. No Kings Rally.” 14 June 2025.
- U.S. Constitution, Article II, Section 1; Federal Vacancies Reform Act of 1998.
- FDR’s Court-Packing Plan of 1937. Congressional Quarterly, 1937; see also Schlesinger, A. M. Jr., The Age of Roosevelt.
- Lincoln’s Suspension of Habeas Corpus (1861). National Archives, Presidential Proclamations.
- Erdogan’s Post-Coup Emergency Decrees (Turkey, 2016). Turkey’s Official Gazette, No. 29825, 20 July 2016.
- “Constitutional Amendments and Term Limits.” Slavic Review, vol. 79, no. 2, 2020, pp. 231–250.
- Reuters. “Hungary’s Fidesz Overhauls Electoral Law Ahead of 2022 Election.” 6 December 2021.
- Freedom House. “Democracy Under Threat: Global Report 2025,” pp. 45–52.
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